Invest 94L

New Invest 94L is located in the Central Atlantic Ocean. Discussion at Scott’s blog: http://www.midatlanticwx.com/blog.htm

INVEST 93L

New Invest located in SW GOM is close to Mexico and not forecast to develop.

Cat-2 Dean Makes Second Landfall.

From the NHC:

1150 AM CDT WED AUG 22 2007

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN MADE LANDFALL IN MEXICO NEAR THE TOWN OF TECOLUTLA…JUST EAST OF GUTIERREZ ZAMORA AND ABOUT 40 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF TUXPAN AT ABOUT 1130 AM CDT…1630 UTC.  THE ESTIMATED INTENSITY OF DEAN AT LANDFALL WAS 100 MPH…160 KPH….CATEGORY TWO ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.

Dean Back Over Water…Invest 92L Dropped

Our HurricaneCenter and other media outlets are providing great coverage of Dean (I exclude “TWC”…they have been out hustled  by CNN and Fox…so much for The Hurricane Authority).

Invest 92L has not organized and resembles an open wave more than a closed Low Pressure area. It is still moving west and will bring clouds and showers to much of Florida…no development is anticipated.

The Canadian CMC model (the one that had Invest 92L a tropical storm landfalling FL on Thursday) is now ga-ga over a wave in the Central Atlantic…cranking it up by Friday east of the Lesser Antilles. Getting warm & tingly over the CMC is just not something we do here at Mid-Atlantic WX.com, but we’re always watching.

HurricaneCenter: http://www.midatlanticwx.com/hurricane.htm

Dean @ 11PM EDT: 914 mb, 160 MPH winds

Dean will make landfall Tuesday morning however hurricane force winds will be moving in 3 hours earlier.

Dean Recon: 160 MPH Flight Level Winds: Cat-5

For a couple of technical reasons on these hurricane hunter recon flights, max flight level winds aren’t decreased by the usual percentages (email me if you want a detailed explaination). Dean is now a Category-5 hurricane.

Dean @ 8PM EDT: 915 mb, 155MPH, Nearly a Cat-5

Winds are 155MPH and officially still a Cat-4. In order to classify as a Category-5, winds must exceed 155MPH. Dean is still strengthening and confidence is high he’ll reach Cat-5 strength prior to landfall. Core temperature shown in VDM continues to warm…usually a sign of intensification. Landfall on the Yucatan mid-morning Tuesday but strong winds and rain are now approaching.

BTW, Fox News is streaming several Hurricane Dean video clips on their web site…not full time right now but good coverage: http://www.foxnews.com. Click “VIDEO” under the Dean lead story headline.

Dean Bombing Out at 2PM EDT! Cat-5 VERY Soon!

Down to 918 mb (ties lowest thus far). Winds 150MPH/Gusting 185MPH, moving west @ 17 knots.

Dean at 2PM EDT: 924 mb, 150MPH, West @ 21 MPH

Dean is strengthening and is expected to become a Cat-5 shortly. Speedy westward track indicates there should be no interaction with Upper Level Low and and shift north is most unlikely. Hurricane Hunters back in shortly.

New INVEST 92…

A wave well ESE of the Bahamas is now Invest 92L. The disturbance is forecast to track NW…possible towards Bermuda or the SEUS coast. I’ll have a discussion at the blog later today. Keep in mind, the Ridge affecting Dean will also impact Invest 92L.

Scott’s blog: http://www.midatlanticwx.com/blog.htm